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当前中药材行情分析

2016-1-11 15:14| 发布者: 中药材| 查看: 8378| 评论: 53

摘要: 从近期各大中药材市场交易的情况来看,市场基本面偏弱,中药材交投依旧平淡。价位偏高的品种价格开始出现滞涨回落,需求减弱人气降低。价位偏低的品种有欲望回升,但受货源供大于求的压制,依旧在低价位徘徊,等待时 ...

从近期各大中药材市场交易的情况来看,市场基本面偏弱,中药材交投依旧平淡。价位偏高的品种价格开始出现滞涨回落,需求减弱人气降低。价位偏低的品种有欲望回升,但受货源供大于求的压制,依旧在低价位徘徊,等待时机。目前已进入寒冬,正是药市的销售旺季,但是当前药市行情没有一点旺销的迹象,整个市场行情一片低迷,大家只有在煎熬中等待。在目前这种市场行情下,市场短期很难恢复红火的局面。

就甘肃大宗地产品种来说,党参,当归近期也恢复了涨价后的平静。2015年党参受干旱减产的利好消息,行情可以说死灰复燃,价格大跨一步,统装货由最低价17元涨到了30元左右,上涨幅度达80%左右,年末又再次登上了涨幅榜最前列,地产药商为之傲娇。我们言归正传,如果不是出现了减产的利好刺激,价格仍将在低价位徘徊,甚至再下一台阶。减产带动的涨价也并非市场实际需求的表现,而是有更多的药商看到利好消息,积极购货拉升了价格。其实,党参供应货源充足,这也是涨价后不能继续攀升的阻力所在。在利好刺激,以及众人追捧的情况下,很多药商恐怕只赚了行情,却没赚到钱,没有及时出手,并且还在反弹高位继续接盘。但是党参利好已得到释放,抓住这波反弹的药商绝对是眉开眼笑,下一步就需要实际需求夯实行情。不管怎样,2015年党参名列涨价排行榜已无需争议。

2015年上半年当归行情还在低谷中独自落泪,进入下半年生长期,在地植株出现抽薹现象,对于当归来说,抽薹现象这是不可避免的,每年都有,不足以引起商家的关注,但是后来天气干旱原因,造就了当归利好出现,这时就有商家蠢蠢欲动,尤其产地商家纷纷囤积买货,药农开始惜售,要么有意抬高销售价格。由此拉动了当归行情的大幅上涨,从最低20元左右逐渐攀升至40元左右。上涨幅度达50%,无论当归这轮涨价能走多远,15年也算是扬眉吐气了。甘肃这两个大宗品种,告别低迷行情,一步登上了涨价排行榜。

时光流逝,转眼2015年即将过去,回顾在这一年里药市可谓在惨淡中度过。

主要有这几方面原因:

1、国际、国内经济大环境低迷。

2、国内受经济下行影响,各行各业转型升级需要时间。

3、药厂GMP认证未结束,导致药厂原料采购减少,药市整体成交量萎缩。

4、药材的上游生产仍处在中、高水平。

5、大多家种大家药材库存在不断累积,严重供大于求。

6、国外购买力下降,许多代加工企业开工不足或倒闭,人们的收入减少,对中成药的销量也影响很大。

总结2015年药市虽有上涨品种,虽热度有限,但或多或少给低迷已久的药市带来一点温暖,给人们带来一丝希望。


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